Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (UEA), k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131 ve talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ili\u015fkin tahminlerini keskin bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ajans, ABD-\u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n petrol ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 sekteye u\u011fratmas\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkilemesi nedeniyle her ikisinin de ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki seviyelerin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapora g\u00f6re UEA, k\u00fcresel petrol talebinin bu y\u0131l g\u00fcnl\u00fck 80.000 varil (bpd) d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu rakam, \u00f6nceki ayl\u0131k raporunda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 640.000 bpd’lik bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisiyle keskin bir tezat olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Bu tahmin, Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ve UEA’n\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fclkelere enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 istiflemekten ve \u015foku daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirebilecek ihracat kontrolleri uygulamaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmalar\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
UEA Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Birol, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc gazetecilere yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerin stoklar\u0131n\u0131 tuttu\u011funu ve ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, t\u00fcm \u00fclkelere enerji stoklar\u0131n\u0131n piyasalara ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na izin vermeleri \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Birol, s\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkelerin adlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamad\u0131.<\/p>\n
UEA’n\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc raporunda, “K\u0131tl\u0131k ve y\u00fcksek fiyatlar devam ettik\u00e7e talep daralmas\u0131 yay\u0131lacak,” denildi ve \u00f6zellikle nafta, LPG ve jet yak\u0131t\u0131 i\u00e7in petrol t\u00fcketimindeki en derin kesintilerin \u015fu ana kadar Orta Do\u011fu ve Asya Pasifik’ten geldi\u011fi eklendi. Paris merkezli g\u00f6zlemci kurulu\u015f, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklenen 1,5 milyon bpd’lik talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn, COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en derin daralma olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OPEC) de ikinci \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya petrol talebi tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f, ancak t\u00fcm y\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
**H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Kesintileri**<\/p>\n
UEA, Orta Do\u011fu’daki enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar ve \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131n\u0131n tarihteki en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol arz\u0131 kesintisine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Mart ay\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck 10,1 milyon varil kayb\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. \u0130ran, 28 \u015eubat’tan bu yana ABD-\u0130srail’in kendi topraklar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak, k\u00fcresel enerji sevkiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in kilit bir rota olan bo\u011fazdaki trafi\u011fi neredeyse tamamen durdurdu.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran’\u0131n bu kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki fiili kontrol\u00fc, d\u00fcnya genelinde gaz ve benzin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu. \u015eimdi ise Washington, her g\u00fcn ge\u00e7meye devam eden \u0130ran tankerlerinin ge\u00e7i\u015fini imkans\u0131z hale getirerek bo\u011faz\u0131n kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc Tahran’dan almak istiyor.<\/p>\n
Bu ama\u00e7la, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Pakistan’\u0131n ba\u015fkenti \u0130slamabad’da ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda hafta sonu yap\u0131lan bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin bir anla\u015fmaya varamamas\u0131 \u00fczerine Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na abluka ilan etti. UEA raporu, ABD ablukas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve petrole dayal\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00e7e\u015fitli mallar\u0131n tedariki \u00fczerindeki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc daha da belirsizle\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
UEA, bo\u011faz\u0131n kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 halinde petrol talebinin daha da d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ajans, “Bu durumda, d\u00fcnya genelindeki enerji piyasalar\u0131 ve ekonomiler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda \u00f6nemli aksakl\u0131klara haz\u0131rlanmal\u0131,” uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. UEA ayr\u0131ca, “H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131, enerji arz\u0131, fiyatlar ve k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 hafifletmek i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli tek de\u011fi\u015fken olmaya devam ediyor,” diye ekledi.<\/p>\n
**Rusya’n\u0131n Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131**<\/p>\n
Raporda ayr\u0131ca, bu kesintilerden en \u00e7ok faydalanan \u00fclkenin Rusya oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Fiyatlardaki art\u0131\u015f sayesinde Moskova’n\u0131n ham petrol ve rafine \u00fcr\u00fcnlerden elde etti\u011fi gelirler Mart ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, 2022’de Ukrayna’ya y\u00f6nelik topyek\u00fbn sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye geriledi\u011fi \u015eubat ay\u0131ndan sonra bir toparlanmaya i\u015faret ediyor. Rusya’n\u0131n emtia gelirleri, devlet b\u00fct\u00e7esinin hayati bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olup artan askeri harcamalar\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in gereklidir.<\/p>\n
UEA, Rusya’n\u0131n ham petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en ay \u015eubat ay\u0131na g\u00f6re g\u00fcnl\u00fck 270.000 varil artarak 4,6 milyon varile ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun \u00e7o\u011funlukla Drujba boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle deniz yoluyla yap\u0131lan sevkiyatlarla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ukrayna topraklar\u0131 \u00fczerinden Macaristan ve Slovakya’ya giden Drujba boru hatt\u0131 ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131, Ocak ay\u0131 sonunda boru hatt\u0131 altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kapal\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
#K\u00fcreselPetrol #EnerjiKrizi #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #PetrolTalebi #UEA #OPEC #RusyaEnerjisi #Ekonomi #Jeopolitik<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (UEA), k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131 ve talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ili\u015fkin tahminlerini keskin bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ajans, ABD-\u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n petrol ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 sekteye u\u011fratmas\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkilemesi nedeniyle her ikisinin de ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki seviyelerin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fini belirtti. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapora g\u00f6re UEA, k\u00fcresel petrol talebinin bu y\u0131l g\u00fcnl\u00fck 80.000 varil […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":153,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=152"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}