\u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’a y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemi olduk\u00e7a basittir. \u0130srail, 1982’den beri Hizbullah ile m\u00fccadele ediyor; ilk 18 y\u0131l L\u00fcbnan i\u00e7inde, ard\u0131ndan yirmi y\u0131l boyunca \u0130srail topraklar\u0131ndan. Devam eden operasyonun 20 y\u0131ld\u0131r s\u00fcregeldi\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki ba\u015far\u0131lara ra\u011fmen, Hizbullah \u0130srail’in kuzeydeki yerle\u015fim birimleri i\u00e7in bir tehdit olmaya devam ediyor. \u0130srail ordusu sadece L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n g\u00fcneyindeki altyap\u0131y\u0131 temizlemekle kalm\u0131yor, ayn\u0131 zamanda L\u00fcbnan devletini silahs\u0131zland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in askeri olarak bask\u0131 uyguluyor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u0130srail gerek\u00e7elerini \u00f6zetlemek gerekiyor, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Orta Do\u011fu, \u0130srail ne zaman \u201csald\u0131rganla\u015fmaya\u201d karar verse, bu gerek\u00e7elerin art arda s\u0131ralanmas\u0131na al\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ger\u00e7ek \u015fu ki, L\u00fcbnan \u0130srail’in duygular\u0131 i\u00e7in m\u00fckemmel bir hedeftir. Zay\u0131f bir ordusu var ve L\u00fcbnan devlet ayg\u0131t\u0131, Hristiyanlar ile S\u00fcnni ve \u015eii M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 d\u00fczenlemeleri nedeniyle s\u00fcrekli bir de\u011fi\u015fim i\u00e7inde. L\u00fcbnan ayr\u0131ca, \u0130srail’in en tutarl\u0131 askeri d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131n\u0131 tam da \u0130srail s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yine de bunlar, L\u00fcbnan’a kar\u015f\u0131 mevcut kampanyay\u0131 y\u00f6nlendiren en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gerek\u00e7enin \u00e7o\u011funlukla \u201cstratejik\u201d bir \u00f6rt\u00fcs\u00fcd\u00fcr. Bu gerek\u00e7e, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u0130srail’in i\u00e7 siyasi hesaplar\u0131 ve ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131klar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda acil bir zafer elde etme ihtiyac\u0131 etraf\u0131nda d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u015eimdiye kadar, \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, Hamas veya \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 herhangi bir etkili zafer elde etme anlam\u0131nda vatanda\u015flar\u0131na \u201cg\u00fcvenli\u011fi\u201d garanti edemedi. Toplu yok etme bir zafer de\u011fildir.<\/b> \u0130srail, hem \u0130ran hem de Filistin’in k\u0131sa ve orta vadeli gelece\u011fini kontrol etme m\u00fccadelesinde ivme kaybetmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
Netanyahu’nun en yak\u0131n m\u00fcttefiki, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, do\u011frudan \u0130ran ile m\u00fczakere ediyor. ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015f\u00fcphesiz \u0130srailli yetkililere \u201cbilgi veriyor\u201d ancak \u0130srail’in h\u0131zl\u0131 ve kesin bir zafer vaadinin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130srail’in herhangi bir tavsiyesine pek a\u00e7\u0131k olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu arada, Filistin’in gelece\u011fi hakk\u0131ndaki tart\u0131\u015fmalar durmu\u015fken, Hamas Gazze’nin baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerini kontrol etmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail, Hizbullah’\u0131n da Hamas gibi \u201ctamamen silahs\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d talep ediyor. \u0130srail medyas\u0131ndaki anonim \u0130srail ordusu kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re, bu ancak L\u00fcbnan ve Gazze’nin tamamen i\u015fgal edilmesiyle m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fgal bir \u201caskeri operasyon\u201d de\u011fil, sava\u015ft\u0131r.<\/b> Kahramanca sald\u0131r\u0131lar, bombalama videolar\u0131 veya y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n zafer olarak sunulmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fildir. \u0130srail’in \u00e7ok iyi bildi\u011fi gibi, i\u015fgal g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00f6l\u00fcmleri, bask\u0131 siyasetinde yava\u015f bir bo\u011fulmay\u0131 beraberinde getirir.<\/p>\n
Yine de Netanyahu, \u0130srail tarihindeki en uzun sava\u015f\u0131 veren ve kendisi i\u00e7in umut verici bir \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ve mutlak bir zaferle \u00e7\u0131kan lider olmak istiyor. \u0130ran’\u0131n elinden kay\u0131p gitmesi ve Gazze’nin b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 bir mesele haline gelmesiyle, Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail’in kuzey s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmak, zafer ilan etmek i\u00e7in elindeki tek f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
7 Ekim sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u0130srail’in kuzeyindeki n\u00fcfus tahliye edildi\u011finde, \u0130srail’de ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz bir Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail Celilesi’ni i\u015fgal edece\u011fi s\u00f6ylentileri yay\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130srail TV st\u00fcdyolar\u0131ndaki resmi korku tellallar\u0131, Tahran’dan organize edilen, \u0130srail’i yedi cepheden \u201cyok etme\u201d plan\u0131ndan dem vurdu.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran’\u0131n varolu\u015fsal bir tehdit olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u201c\u00f6nleyici bir sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n\u201d gerekli veya re\u00e7ete edilmedi\u011fi ve Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail’i i\u015fgal etmeyi planlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131k \u00f6nemli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Gazze ve \u0130ran’daki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131klar g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Hizbullah’\u0131n kuzeyden hayali bir i\u015fgalini \u00f6nlemek, Netanyahu’nun gelecekteki se\u00e7menlerine verebilece\u011fi tek siyasi vaattir.<\/p>\n
Dahas\u0131, L\u00fcbnan, \u0130srail ordusunun \u201cbasit\u201d mant\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 uygulama f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunuyor. E\u011fer t\u00fcm \u015eii k\u00f6yleri yok edilir ve n\u00fcfuslar\u0131 Beyrut’a do\u011fru s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrse, \u0130srail ordusu nihayet orijinal Gazze plan\u0131n\u0131 uygulayabilecektir: Geride kalan ve m\u00fclteci yolunu se\u00e7meyen herkes Hizbullah’t\u0131r ve derhal \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclecektir.<\/b><\/p>\n
\u015eimdiden, g\u00fcneydeki \u015eii k\u00f6yleri Gazze tarz\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130srail ordusu, yerel Hristiyan ve S\u00fcnni liderleri ka\u00e7an \u015eiilere bar\u0131nak sa\u011flamamalar\u0131 konusunda uyard\u0131. Gazze sonras\u0131 d\u00fcnyada, bu t\u00fcr eylemler ola\u011fand\u0131r.<\/p>\n
L\u00fcbnan ya\u015famlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130srail’in \u201cstratejik\u201d oyunlar\u0131nda de\u011fersiz piyonlar oldu\u011funu varsayan bir plan, t\u00fcm Yahudi \u0130srailli politikac\u0131lar i\u00e7in siyasi olarak kabul edilebilirdir.<\/p>\n
Ek olarak, uluslararas\u0131 toplum a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da en g\u00fcvenilir se\u00e7enek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. T\u00fcm g\u00f6zler \u0130ran ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’na odaklanm\u0131\u015fken, \u0130srail kelimenin tam anlam\u0131yla cinayetle pa\u00e7ay\u0131 s\u0131y\u0131r\u0131yor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ordu tam bir zafer ilan edebilir, Netanyahu se\u00e7imini garantileyebilir ve \u0130srailliler \u201cliberaller\u201d ile \u201cmesih\u00e7iler\u201d aras\u0131ndaki favori i\u00e7 kavgalar\u0131na geri d\u00f6nebilirler.<\/p>\n
Bir sonu\u00e7 yerine, \u0130srail’in ne yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmek faydal\u0131d\u0131r. G\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’da faaliyet g\u00f6steren bilinmeyen say\u0131da \u0130srail askerine ra\u011fmen, \u0130srail ordusu 1982’de (ve muhtemelen 2006’da tekrar ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi) \u00fclkeye tam \u00f6l\u00e7ekli bir i\u015fgal ba\u015flatmad\u0131. ABD de hen\u00fcz \u0130ran topraklar\u0131na bir kara i\u015fgali giri\u015fiminde bulunmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Her iki \u00fclke de askeri bir zaferin arzu edilirli\u011finin, b\u00f6yle bir i\u015fgalin acil risklerini ve bedellerini ortadan kald\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yor. Ancak belki de felaketin \u00f6nlenebilece\u011fine dair bir umut vard\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu makalede ifade edilen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler yazar\u0131n kendi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleridir ve Al Jazeera’n\u0131n editoryal duru\u015funu yans\u0131tmayabilir.<\/i><\/p>\n
#Netanyahu #L\u00fcbnan #\u0130srail #Hizbullah #Ortado\u011fu #Sava\u015f #Gazze #Filistin #\u0130ran #Siyaset<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’a Y\u00f6nelik S\u00f6ylemi ve Tarihsel Arka Plan \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’a y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemi olduk\u00e7a basittir. \u0130srail, 1982’den beri Hizbullah ile m\u00fccadele ediyor; ilk 18 y\u0131l L\u00fcbnan i\u00e7inde, ard\u0131ndan yirmi y\u0131l boyunca \u0130srail topraklar\u0131ndan. Devam eden operasyonun 20 y\u0131ld\u0131r s\u00fcregeldi\u011fi belirtiliyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki ba\u015far\u0131lara ra\u011fmen, Hizbullah \u0130srail’in kuzeydeki yerle\u015fim birimleri i\u00e7in bir tehdit olmaya devam ediyor. \u0130srail […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2134,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran_haberler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2133","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2133"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2133\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2133"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2133"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2133"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}