{"id":2293,"date":"2026-04-16T11:53:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T08:23:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/ingiltere-ekonomisi-iran-savasi-oncesinde-beklenenden-daha-hizli-buyudu\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T11:53:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T08:23:49","slug":"ingiltere-ekonomisi-iran-savasi-oncesinde-beklenenden-daha-hizli-buyudu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/?p=2293&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere Ekonomisi, \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131 \u00d6ncesinde Beklenenden Daha H\u0131zl\u0131 B\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ngiltere ekonomisi, resmi rakamlara g\u00f6re \u015eubat ay\u0131nda son iki y\u0131ldan uzun bir s\u00fcredir **en b\u00fcy\u00fck ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131** kaydetti.<\/p>\n<p>Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS), ekonominin beklenen %0,5&#8217;lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00fczerinde bir performans sergiledi\u011fini ve Ocak ay\u0131 tahminini daha \u00f6nce b\u00fcy\u00fcme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesine ra\u011fmen **%0,1&#8217;e revize etti\u011fini** a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<h3>B\u00f6lgesel Gerilimlerin Etkisi<\/h3>\n<p>Bu rakamlar, 28 \u015eubat&#8217;ta \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131 da i\u00e7eren b\u00f6lgesel gerilimlerin patlak vermesinden \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemi kaps\u0131yor. Bu gerilimler, **b\u00fcy\u00fck bir enerji \u015fokuna** neden oldu ve uzmanlar, uzamas\u0131 halinde **k\u00fcresel bir durgunluk riski** ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek, \u00fclkenin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomileri aras\u0131nda **en \u00e7ok etkilenecek \u00fclke** olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. IMF, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin bu y\u0131l **%0,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini** bekledi\u011fini, bu oran\u0131n Ocak ay\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 %1,3&#8217;l\u00fck tahminden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu ifade etti. Fon, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sava\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle, **daha az faiz indirimi beklentisiyle** ve y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n etkisinin gelecek y\u0131la kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcyle ilgili oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n<h3>Ekonomik G\u00f6stergeler ve Uzman Yorumlar\u0131<\/h3>\n<p>\u00c7o\u011fu ekonomist, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin \u015eubat ay\u0131nda sadece %0,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyordu. Ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, ekonominin yine %0,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Ocak 2024&#8217;ten bu yana **en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f** oldu.<\/p>\n<p>ONS, ekonominin d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan kilit hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn **%0,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc** ve bunun \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtti. \u00dcretim \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131 da ay i\u00e7inde **%0,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken**, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc **%1,0 oran\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi**.<\/p>\n<p>Ulusal Ekonomik ve Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (NIESR), ekonomideki son geni\u015flemeyi &#8220;kayda de\u011fer&#8221; olarak nitelendirdi ancak **Mart ay\u0131nda daha yava\u015f bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme** bekledi\u011fini ekledi. Yard\u0131mc\u0131 ekonomist Fergus Jimenez-England, &#8220;Ne yaz\u0131k ki, son enerji fiyat \u015foku bu ivmeyi muhtemelen ortadan kald\u0131rd\u0131; **hedef \u00fcst\u00fc enflasyon ve yumu\u015fayan bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131** muhtemelen bizi bekliyor,&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<h3>T\u00fcketiciler ve Piyasa \u00dczerindeki Etkiler<\/h3>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;deki s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler, gerilimlerin patlak vermesinden bu yana **benzin ve dizel fiyatlar\u0131nda keskin art\u0131\u015flar** g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Is\u0131tma ya\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015flardan etkilendi, ancak Ofgem&#8217;in enerji fiyat tavan\u0131 kapsam\u0131ndaki haneler **Temmuz ay\u0131na kadar artan enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan korunacak**.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ekonomik dalgalanma etkileri, fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselme oran\u0131 olan **enflasyonu art\u0131rabilir**. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmadan \u00f6nce enflasyon, ilkbahara kadar \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n %2&#8217;lik hedefine geri d\u00f6nme yolundayd\u0131. Enflasyondaki bir art\u0131\u015f, sava\u015ftan \u00f6nce d\u00fc\u015fmesi beklenen faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 da etkileyebilir. Ancak, daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, **faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131 veya hatta artaca\u011f\u0131** y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki spek\u00fclasyonlar\u0131 tetikledi.<\/p>\n<p>Beklentilerdeki bu de\u011fi\u015fiklik, ipotek piyasas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden etkiledi. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;deki kredi verenler **y\u00fczlerce anla\u015fmay\u0131 geri \u00e7ekti** ve ortalama ipotek oranlar\u0131 ge\u00e7en ilkbahar ve yazdan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen seviyelere y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Capital Economics&#8217;in \u0130ngiltere Ba\u015f Ekonomist Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ruth Gregory, \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki &#8220;b\u00fcy\u00fck&#8221; b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u0130ran ile ilgili b\u00f6lgesel gerilimler nedeniyle &#8220;**muhtemelen zaten s\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc**&#8221; s\u00f6yledi. Ancak, enerji yo\u011fun madencilik, ula\u015f\u0131m ve perakende gibi enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fa en \u00e7ok maruz kalan baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin iyi performans g\u00f6stermesinin cesaret verici oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n<h3>Siyasi Tepkiler ve Gelecek Beklentileri<\/h3>\n<p>Hazine Ba\u015f Sekreteri James Murray, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin &#8220;**ancak ekonomi sa\u011flam zeminde oldu\u011funda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini**&#8221; s\u00f6yledi. Murray, &#8220;Bu y\u00fczden de\u011fi\u015fen bir d\u00fcnyada istikrar\u0131 yeniden sa\u011flama, yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 art\u0131rma ve reform yapma plan\u0131m\u0131z, **daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve diren\u00e7li bir \u0130ngiltere** in\u015fa etmek i\u00e7in do\u011fru oland\u0131r,&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6lge \u015eans\u00f6lye Sir Mel Stride, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131 ancak bu haftaki IMF d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn &#8220;**ekonomimizin son enerji \u015fokuna tamamen haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131z oldu\u011funu**&#8221; g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirtti. Stride, Reeves&#8217;in tercihlerinin &#8220;**bizi daha yoksul, h\u0131zla artan i\u015fsizlik ve G7&#8217;deki en y\u00fcksek enflasyonla ba\u015f ba\u015fa b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131**&#8221; ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Liberal Demokratlar\u0131n Hazine s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Daisy Cooper ise olumlu rakamlar\u0131n &#8220;\u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin tehlikeli bir ekonomik krize s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesiyle **zaten geride kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131**&#8221; s\u00f6yledi. Cooper, \u0130ran ile ilgili b\u00f6lgesel gerilimlerin &#8220;**aile faturalar\u0131na y\u00fczlerce sterlin ekleyece\u011fini**&#8221; belirtti ve h\u00fck\u00fcmeti bir litre yak\u0131ttan 12 peni kesmeye ve ula\u015f\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>#\u0130ngiltereEkonomisi #EkonomikB\u00fcy\u00fcme #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #Enflasyon #FaizOranlar\u0131 #Enerji\u015eoku #IMF #K\u00fcreselDurgunluk #MortgagePiyasas\u0131 #EkonomikAnaliz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ngiltere ekonomisi, resmi rakamlara g\u00f6re \u015eubat ay\u0131nda son iki y\u0131ldan uzun bir s\u00fcredir **en b\u00fcy\u00fck ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131** kaydetti. Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS), ekonominin beklenen %0,5&#8217;lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00fczerinde bir performans sergiledi\u011fini ve Ocak ay\u0131 tahminini daha \u00f6nce b\u00fcy\u00fcme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesine ra\u011fmen **%0,1&#8217;e revize etti\u011fini** a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. B\u00f6lgesel Gerilimlerin Etkisi Bu rakamlar, 28 \u015eubat&#8217;ta \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131 da i\u00e7eren b\u00f6lgesel [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2294,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran_haberler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2293","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2293"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2293\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2294"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2293"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2293"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2293"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}