\u0130srail ve L\u00fcbnan, daha kal\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00fcvenlik ve bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakerelerinin devam etmesine izin vermek i\u00e7in 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkes ilan etti.
\nAte\u015fkes, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump taraf\u0131ndan duyuruldu ve GMT ile 21:00’de y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi.
\nAte\u015fkes, \u0130srail ile \u0130ran destekli L\u00fcbnan grubu Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki alt\u0131 haftal\u0131k \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’a y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f\u0131nda en az 2.196 ki\u015fi \u00f6ld\u00fc ve bir milyondan fazla ki\u015fi yerinden edildi.
\nAncak Cuma sabah\u0131, L\u00fcbnan ordusu \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan birka\u00e7 ate\u015fkes ihlali bildirildi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.
\nAte\u015fkes s\u00fcrecek mi? \u015eartlar\u0131 neler? \u0130\u015fte bildiklerimiz:<\/p>\n
Ate\u015fkesin \u015fartlar\u0131 nelerdir?
\nPer\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ate\u015fkese duyuran Trump, bunu \u201ctarihi bir g\u00fcn\u201d olarak nitelendirdi.
\nTruth Social’daki bir g\u00f6nderisinde, \u201cL\u00fcbnan i\u00e7in tarihi bir g\u00fcn olabilir. G\u00fczel \u015feyler oluyor\u201d dedi.
\nABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fartlar\u0131na g\u00f6re \u0130srail \u201ckendini savunma hakk\u0131n\u0131 koruyacak\u201d ve \u201cherhangi bir sald\u0131r\u0131 askeri operasyonu\u201d yapmayacak.
\nA\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u0130srail’in bu hakk\u0131 \u201cplanl\u0131, yak\u0131n veya devam eden sald\u0131r\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131, herhangi bir zamanda\u201d kullanabilece\u011fi belirtildi.
\n\u201cBu, d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131klar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131yla engellenmeyecektir\u201d diye eklendi.
\nTrump, 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkesin Hizbullah’\u0131 da kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\nTrump, Truth Social g\u00f6nderisinde, \u201cUmar\u0131m Hizbullah bu \u00f6nemli d\u00f6nemde iyi ve d\u00fczg\u00fcn davran\u0131r. E\u011fer yaparlarsa bu onlar i\u00e7in HAR\u0130KA bir an olacakt\u0131r\u201d diye yazd\u0131.
\n\u201cArt\u0131k \u00f6l\u00fcm yok. Sonunda BARI\u015e olmal\u0131!\u201d<\/p>\n
Hizbullah ne dedi?
\nAncak, \u0130srail ve L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 yetkililer aras\u0131nda Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Washington’da ate\u015fkesi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere yap\u0131lan do\u011frudan m\u00fczakerelere Hizbullah dahil edilmedi. L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 silahl\u0131 grup ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131.
\nPer\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc, Hizbullah siyaset\u00e7isi Ali Fayyad, Al Jazeera Arabic’e grubun yeni ilan edilen ate\u015fkese \u201cdikkat ve uyan\u0131kl\u0131kla\u201d yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan L\u00fcbnan b\u00f6lgelerinin herhangi bir \u015fekilde hedef al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n ate\u015fkesin ihlali anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\nFayyad, \u201cBir sonraki a\u015fama dikenli ve tuzaklar ve zorluklarla dolu\u201d dedi ve L\u00fcbnan i\u00e7in \u201cen k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryonun\u201d i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.
\n\u0130srail, L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmetinden Hizbullah’\u0131 silahs\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 talep etti; Hizbullah ise \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7leri L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fclkeye tehdit olu\u015fturdu\u011fu s\u00fcrece silahlar\u0131n\u0131 b\u0131rakmay\u0131 reddediyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail ate\u015fkes hakk\u0131nda ne dedi?
\nPer\u015fembe gecesi, \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu, h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin art\u0131k Beyrut ile \u201ctarihi bir anla\u015fma yapma\u201d f\u0131rsat\u0131na sahip oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u0130srail’in ge\u00e7ici, 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkese \u201craz\u0131 oldu\u011funu\u201d ancak g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin Suriye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kadar \u201cgeni\u015f\u201d bir g\u00fcvenlik b\u00f6lgesiyle L\u00fcbnan’da kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.
\n\u0130srail’in temel talebinin Hizbullah’\u0131n silahs\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve \u0130srail’in Hizbullah’\u0131n birliklerini s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesine \u00e7ekme talebine raz\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.
\nEski \u0130srailli diplomat Alon Pinkas, \u0130srail h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin anla\u015fmay\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evelemesini reddederek Al Jazeera’ye \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cNetanyahu \u00e7ok \u015fey s\u00f6yler. Ona oldu\u011fu gibi inanmam. Bunu, Ba\u015fkan Trump taraf\u0131ndan zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu, onun istedi\u011fi bir ate\u015fkes de\u011fil.\u201d
\nNetanyahu’nun ate\u015fkesin tarihi bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n yolunu a\u00e7abilece\u011fi \u00f6nerisine Pinkas, ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki tekrarlanan ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z \u00e7abalara dikkat \u00e7ekti.
\n\u201cBence Netanyahu ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u2026 Hizbullah’\u0131 silahs\u0131zland\u0131rma konusundaki belirtilen hedefinde ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u201d dedi ve ekledi: \u201cD\u00fcr\u00fcst olmak gerekirse, Hizbullah hala silahl\u0131yken \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131nda herhangi bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n imzalanabilece\u011fini g\u00f6remiyorum.\u201d
\n\u0130srail’in muhalefet lideri Yair Lapid de Trump taraf\u0131ndan ilan edilen L\u00fcbnan ile \u0130srail aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkese tepki g\u00f6sterdi.
\nLapid, X’teki bir g\u00f6nderisinde, \u201c\u0130lk kez de\u011fil, bu [Netanyahu] h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin t\u00fcm vaatleri ger\u00e7eklik zeminine \u00e7arp\u0131yor. L\u00fcbnan’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma yaln\u0131zca tek bir \u015fekilde sona erebilir: kuzeydeki yerle\u015fim yerlerine y\u00f6nelik tehdidin kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131\u201d dedi.
\n\u201cBu h\u00fck\u00fcmette art\u0131k olmayacak; bunu bir sonraki h\u00fck\u00fcmette yapaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d diye ekledi.<\/p>\n
Bu, L\u00fcbnan’daki insanlar i\u00e7in ne anlama geliyor?
\nAte\u015fkes Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ilan edildikten sonra, Beyrut’ta ate\u015fkesin ba\u015flamas\u0131yla kutlama at\u0131\u015flar\u0131 duyuldu.
\nAncak Beyrut \u015fehir merkezindeki yerinden edilmi\u015f ki\u015filer Al Jazeera’ye \u0130sraillilerin ate\u015fkese uyaca\u011f\u0131na g\u00fcvenmediklerini ve evlerine d\u00f6nmeden \u00f6nce bekleyeceklerini s\u00f6ylediler \u2013 e\u011fer d\u00f6necek evleri varsa.
\nCuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, L\u00fcbnan ordusu, \u201cbir dizi \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n kaydedildi\u011fi ve ayr\u0131ca bir dizi k\u00f6y\u00fc hedef alan aral\u0131kl\u0131 top\u00e7u ate\u015finin oldu\u011fu\u201d bir dizi ate\u015fkes ihlali ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.
\nL\u00fcbnan ordusu, X’teki bir g\u00f6nderisinde, ate\u015fkesin L\u00fcbnan’da y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesiyle birlikte vatanda\u015flara \u201cg\u00fcneydeki k\u00f6y ve kasabalara d\u00f6nerken dikkatli olmalar\u0131\u201d \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yineledi.
\nLebanon 24 medya kurulu\u015fu, \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin G\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki Nebatiye Valili\u011fi’nin Kunin kentinde \u0130slami Sa\u011fl\u0131k Otoritesi’ne ba\u011fl\u0131 bir ambulans ekibine makineli t\u00fcfek ve top mermisiyle ate\u015f a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Haber kayna\u011f\u0131, can kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011funu belirtti.
\nDaha \u00f6nce, \u0130srail askeri s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Avichay Adraee, g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan sakinlerine \u201cacil bir mesaj\u201d yay\u0131nlayarak, ate\u015fkesin ba\u015flamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Litani Nehri’nin kuzeyinde kalmalar\u0131 konusunda uyard\u0131.
\nAdraee, X’teki bir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n uygulama a\u015famas\u0131na girmesine ra\u011fmen, \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin Hizbullah taraf\u0131ndan \u201cdevam eden ter\u00f6r faaliyetleri\u201d olarak nitelendirdi\u011fi \u015feylere kar\u015f\u0131 mevcut konumlar\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cBir sonraki duyuruya kadar, Litani Nehri’nin g\u00fcneyine ge\u00e7memeniz rica olunur\u201d dedi.
\nPer\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc L\u00fcbnan Ulusal Haber Ajans\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan bir a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Hizbullah da yerinden edilmi\u015f ki\u015fileri ate\u015fkes konusundaki belirsizlik nedeniyle dikkatli olmaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.
\n\u201cAte\u015fkesin ilan\u0131yla ve anla\u015fmalar\u0131 ve s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri bozmaya al\u0131\u015fk\u0131n hain bir d\u00fc\u015fman kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, olaylar\u0131n seyri tam olarak netle\u015fene kadar sab\u0131rl\u0131 olman\u0131z\u0131 ve G\u00fcney, Bekaa ve Beyrut’un g\u00fcney banliy\u00f6lerindeki hedef b\u00f6lgelere gitmemenizi rica ediyoruz\u201d denildi.
\nPinkas, Al Jazeera’ye, ate\u015fkese ra\u011fmen anla\u015fmadaki temel ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’da \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cL\u00fcbnan’\u0131n g\u00fcneyinde bir Hizbullah \u00f6l\u00fcm b\u00f6lgesi var ve ate\u015fkesin bu b\u00f6lgeyi kapsay\u0131p kapsamayaca\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7 de net de\u011fil. Ve ate\u015fkes k\u0131smi hale geldi\u011finde, ate\u015fkes olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kar\u201d dedi.
\nAncak insanlar, ate\u015fkes ihlallerine ra\u011fmen g\u00fcneydeki evlerine d\u00f6nmek i\u00e7in sab\u0131rs\u0131zlan\u0131yor.
\nAl Jazeera’den Zeina Khodr, g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki Nebatiye’den bildirdi\u011fine g\u00f6re, geri d\u00f6nen insanlar topraklar\u0131n\u0131 b\u0131rakmak istemiyor.
\n\u201c\u00c7ok fazla \u00f6fke var. Ama ayn\u0131 zamanda, buradaki insanlar size diren\u00e7li kalmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorlar\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Bu, kuzey \u0130srail’deki insanlar i\u00e7in ne anlama geliyor?
\nPer\u015fembe gecesi, ate\u015fkese giden s\u00fcre\u00e7te, Hizbullah sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131ndaki \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerine 38, kuzey \u0130srail’e ise 37 sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\nAncak Cuma sabah\u0131, bir f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi \u00e7alan sirenler \u0130srail genelinde sessiz kald\u0131.
\nAncak \u0130srail ile Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan en \u00e7ok etkilenen b\u00f6lgeleri i\u00e7eren kuzey \u0130srail b\u00f6lgelerindeki b\u00f6lgesel konseylerin liderleri ate\u015fkesten duyduklar\u0131 memnuniyetsizli\u011fi dile getirdi.
\nKuzey \u0130srail’in bat\u0131 Celile’sindeki Mateh Asher B\u00f6lgesel Konseyi ba\u015fkan\u0131 Moshe Davidovich, yerel medyaya yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ate\u015fkesin ve Litani Nehri’ne kadar bir g\u00fcvenlik b\u00f6lgesinin kurulmas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cdiplomatik bir ba\u015far\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d ancak daha fazla \u015fiddet riski ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cKuzey sakinleri uluslararas\u0131 halkla ili\u015fkiler g\u00f6sterisinde sadece istatistik de\u011fil\u201d diye ekledi.
\nYine kuzey \u0130srail’de bulunan Ma’ale Yosef B\u00f6lgesel Konseyi ba\u015fkan\u0131 Shimon Guetta, \u0130srail’in g\u00fcvenlik politikas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki d\u0131\u015f etkiyi reddetti ve herhangi bir anla\u015fman\u0131n \u201cHizbullah’\u0131n tamamen silahs\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d ve kuzey topluluklar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u201cmutlak g\u00fcvenlik\u201d garanti etmesini talep etti ve \u201cka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u201d net bir uygulama olmadan \u201canlams\u0131z\u201d oldu\u011funu ekledi.
\nSiyasi yorumcu Abed Abou Shhadeh, Al Jazeera’ye \u0130sraillilerin, \u00f6zellikle \u00fclkenin kuzeyindekilerin, Hizbullah’\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun onlar\u0131 ate\u015fkes haberlerinden dolay\u0131 hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na u\u011fratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\nShhadeh, Al Jazeera’ye, \u201cHer \u015feyden \u00f6nce, Hizbullah’\u0131n askeri yeteneklerini koruyabildi\u011fine ve ate\u015fkesin son dakikas\u0131na kadar sava\u015fabildi\u011fine \u015fa\u015f\u0131rd\u0131lar\u201d dedi.
\n\u201c\u0130kincisi, onlara vaat edilen bu de\u011fildi\u201d dedi.
\n\u201cOnlara mutlak zafer vaat edildi. Onlara \u0130srail’in g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 bir tampon b\u00f6lgeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrece\u011fi vaat edildi. Ve bunu yapamad\u0131lar\u201d diye ekledi.
\nShhadeh, ate\u015fkesin ayn\u0131 zamanda bir\u00e7ok \u0130srailli aras\u0131nda kendi h\u00fck\u00fcmetleri taraf\u0131ndan yalan s\u00f6ylendi\u011fi izlenimini de peki\u015ftirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cAmerikan-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131yla ilgili ger\u00e7e\u011fin [veya] her \u015feyin kendilerine s\u00f6ylenmedi\u011fi hissi var. \u0130ran ve Pakistan, ate\u015fkesin L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 da kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi ve belirtti\u201d dedi.
\n\u201c\u0130lk ba\u015fta, \u0130srail ve Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri bunu kabul etmeyi reddetti. Ve \u015fimdi \u0130srail halk\u0131na ate\u015fkesten bahseden ki\u015fi veya siyaset\u00e7i Donald Trump’t\u0131\u201d diye ekledi.<\/p>\n
Bu ate\u015fkes \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan ili\u015fkilerini s\u0131f\u0131rlayabilir mi?
\nPer\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc \u0130srail ile Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkes, 27 Kas\u0131m 2024’ten beri y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte olan \u00f6nceki bir ate\u015fkesin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Ancak Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler o zamandan beri 10.000’den fazla \u0130srail ate\u015fkes ihlali ve y\u00fczlerce L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc sayd\u0131.
\n\u0130srail, L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmetine, herhangi bir ate\u015fkesin s\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in Hizbullah’\u0131n silahs\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini defalarca s\u00f6yledi.
\nHizbullah, uzun s\u00fcredir L\u00fcbnan’daki en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc askeri g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak kabul ediliyordu, ancak \u0130srail ile olan sava\u015fta zay\u0131flad\u0131 ve liderli\u011finin \u00e7o\u011fu \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Ancak grup, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n \u015eii toplulu\u011funun deste\u011fini hala s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.
\nL\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, Hizbullah’\u0131n \u00fclkedeki etkisinden rahats\u0131zd\u0131. Ge\u00e7en Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda h\u00fck\u00fcmet, \u0130srail ile yap\u0131lan 2024 ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak y\u0131l sonu son tarihinden \u00f6nce Litani Nehri’nin g\u00fcneyindeki Hizbullah’\u0131n silahs\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamaya yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.
\nSon \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda, L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmeti Hizbullah’\u0131n askeri kanad\u0131n\u0131 da yasaklad\u0131.
\nAncak Ocak ay\u0131nda \u0130srail, Hizbullah’\u0131n hala s\u0131n\u0131ra yak\u0131n bir varl\u0131\u011fa sahip oldu\u011funu ve askeri yeteneklerini \u201c[L\u00fcbnan] ordusunun onlar\u0131 da\u011f\u0131tmas\u0131ndan daha h\u0131zl\u0131\u201d yeniden in\u015fa etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\nHizbullah ise, silahl\u0131 grup ile \u0130srail aras\u0131nda kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lan 2024 ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak \u0130srail’in \u00f6nce \u00fclkenin g\u00fcney b\u00f6lgesinden \u00e7ekilmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, Hizbullah’\u0131n Gazze’deki Filistinlilerle dayan\u0131\u015fma amac\u0131yla \u0130srail’e roket atmas\u0131yla Ekim 2023’te patlak verdi. \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda 3.768’den fazla L\u00fcbnanl\u0131 \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc ve 1.2 milyon ki\u015fi yerinden edildi.
\nBeyrut Amerikan \u00dcniversitesi’nde se\u00e7kin bir kamu politikas\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 olan Rami Khouri, Al Jazeera’ye Hizbullah’\u0131n \u201cate\u015fkesin merkezinde, ancak perdenin arkas\u0131nda\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.
\nKhouri, \u201cHizbullah ile L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin ili\u015fkisi her zaman ince ve karma\u015f\u0131k olmu\u015ftur\u201d dedi.
\n\u201cBazen birbirleriyle rekabet ederler, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman da birbirleriyle \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar\u201d dedi.
\nKhouri, Hizbullah ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetin \u0130srail’e kar\u015f\u0131 direni\u015f konusundaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri farkl\u0131 olsa da, L\u00fcbnan ordusunun Hizbullah’tan zorla silah almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun \u00fclkede b\u00fcy\u00fck mezhepsel gerilimler yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cBu y\u00fczden Hizbullah’\u0131n L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmetiyle perde arkas\u0131nda, gayri resmi diyaloglar y\u00fcr\u00fctmesi gerekiyor\u201d diye a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.
\nL\u00fcbnan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Nawaf Salam, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc ate\u015fkesi memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131 ve X’teki bir g\u00f6nderisinde, ate\u015fkesi \u201csava\u015f\u0131n ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnden beri takip etti\u011fimiz merkezi bir L\u00fcbnan talebi\u201d olarak nitelendirdi. Ancak h\u00fck\u00fcmet, \u0130srail’in eylemlerinden her zaman endi\u015fe duymu\u015ftur. L\u00fcbnan Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joseph Aoun da daha \u00f6nce Netanyahu ile farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda do\u011frudan konu\u015fmay\u0131 reddetmi\u015fti.
\nL\u00fcbnan’daki Saint Joseph \u00dcniversitesi Siyaset Bilimi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Sami Nader, Al Jazeera’ye ate\u015fkesin \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkileri s\u0131f\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat olabilece\u011fini, ancak ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n birka\u00e7 kritik fakt\u00f6re ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cBir yandan, her iki taraf da yap\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde angaje olmaya istekliyse, daha s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir, uzun vadeli bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm i\u00e7in bir temel g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rebilir. Bu ate\u015fkes, taraflardan hi\u00e7birinin sayg\u0131 duymad\u0131\u011f\u0131 24 Kas\u0131m 2025’te yap\u0131lan ate\u015fkesden farkl\u0131 olmal\u0131\u201d dedi.
\n\u201c\u00d6te yandan, L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmeti Hizbullah’\u0131n silahs\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 sorumlulu\u011fuyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Ayr\u0131ca, d\u0131\u015f destek \u2013 \u00f6zellikle Trump y\u00f6netiminin sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc destek \u2013 bu g\u00f6revi ba\u015farmada belirleyici bir rol oynayabilir\u201d diye ekledi.
\nPer\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Trump, \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Netanyahu ve L\u00fcbnan Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Aoun’un \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir veya iki hafta i\u00e7inde Washington’da bir araya gelerek \u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki sorunlar\u0131 daha fazla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015febileceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.
\nAl Jazeera’den L\u00fcbnan’dan bildiren Zeina Khodr, \u015fu anda hem L\u00fcbnan h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin hem de \u0130srail’in \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 pozisyonlarda oldu\u011funu, bu nedenle 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkesin kal\u0131c\u0131 bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerde bir iyile\u015fmeyi garanti etmek i\u00e7in zaman sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n pek olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u201cBu y\u00fczden insanlar hala endi\u015feli. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu ge\u00e7ici bir ate\u015fkes. Bu, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 sonu de\u011fil\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Bu ate\u015fkes tamamen \u0130ran-ABD anla\u015fmas\u0131yla m\u0131 ilgili?
\nBa\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z \u0130srailli analist Ori Goldberg, Al Jazeera’ye, \u201cBence bu [\u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkes] \u00e7o\u011funlukla \u0130ran ve ABD ile ilgili. \u0130ranl\u0131lar kapsaml\u0131, b\u00f6lgesel bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm istiyorlar, bu da \u0130srail’i k\u0131s\u0131tlamadan ger\u00e7ekle\u015femez. Trump istekli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor\u201d dedi.
\nPer\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ate\u015fkese duyurduktan sonra Trump, \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u00e7ok yak\u0131n\u201d oldu\u011funu ve bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin Tahran ile Pakistan’\u0131n ba\u015fkenti \u0130slamabad’da bu hafta sonu kadar erken bir zamanda yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\n\u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da L\u00fcbnan’daki ate\u015fkes haberini memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131 ve ate\u015fkesi b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 duraklatmak i\u00e7in ABD ile daha geni\u015f bir anla\u015fman\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveledi.
\nYork \u00dcniversitesi’nden siyaset bilimci Chris Featherstone, \u015fimdiye kadar \u0130ran’\u0131n Tahran ile ABD ve \u0130srail aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkesin \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkese dahil edilmesi gerekti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki m\u00fczakere pozisyonunda kararl\u0131 durdu\u011funu belirtti.
\n\u201c\u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki bu anla\u015fma, daha fazla ABD-\u0130ran m\u00fczakereleri i\u00e7in zemin haz\u0131rlama, daha fazla m\u00fczakerelere engel olan bir noktay\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir hareket olabilir\u201d dedi.
\nAncak Featherstone, bunun ayn\u0131 zamanda Trump’\u0131n m\u00fczakere edilmi\u015f bir ate\u015fkes i\u00e7in kredi almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ba\u015fka bir \u00f6rnek olabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti.
\n\u201cNobel Bar\u0131\u015f \u00d6d\u00fcl\u00fc’ne lay\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclme kampanyas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak ‘sava\u015flar\u0131 sona erdirme’ manevralar\u0131, daha \u00f6nce Trump’\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131z ger\u00e7ek veya hayali \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 sona erdirdi\u011fini iddia etmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u201d dedi.
\n\u201cBu, Trump tarz\u0131 kredi alma \u00f6rne\u011fi olabilir\u201d diye ekledi.
\nNader, ate\u015fkesin daha geni\u015f ABD-\u0130ran dinamiklerinden etkilenebilece\u011fini, ancak \u201cayr\u0131\u201d bir konu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.
\nAl Jazeera’ye, \u201c\u0130ran, b\u00f6lgede vekilleri Hizbullah arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kald\u0131ra\u00e7 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor ve bu da t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flar\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131n\u0131 ve yo\u011funlu\u011funu etkileyebilir\u201d dedi.
\n\u201cAncak, L\u00fcbnan yolu temel ve yasal olarak ayr\u0131 kal\u0131r ve kendi \u015fartlar\u0131yla anla\u015f\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 veya balistik yetenekleri gibi konularla do\u011frudan ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 de\u011fildir\u201d diye a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.
\n\u201cDaha ziyade, L\u00fcbnan ve \u0130srail aras\u0131ndaki ikili endi\u015feler, arazi s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 belirlemesi, s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n her iki taraf\u0131ndaki sakinler i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenlik ve deniz s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.\u201d
\n#\u0130srailL\u00fcbnanAte\u015fkesi #Ortado\u011fuBar\u0131\u015f\u0131 #Hezbollah #Diplomasi #DonaldTrump #B\u00f6lgesel\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma #L\u00fcbnan #\u0130srail #Ate\u015fkes\u0130hlalleri #G\u00fcvenlikB\u00f6lgesi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130srail ve L\u00fcbnan, daha kal\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00fcvenlik ve bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakerelerinin devam etmesine izin vermek i\u00e7in 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkes ilan etti. Ate\u015fkes, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump taraf\u0131ndan duyuruldu ve GMT ile 21:00’de y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi. Ate\u015fkes, \u0130srail ile \u0130ran destekli L\u00fcbnan grubu Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki alt\u0131 haftal\u0131k \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2958,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran_haberler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2957","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2957"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2957\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2958"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2957"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2957"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2957"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}