{"id":5536,"date":"2026-04-30T19:25:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T15:55:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/?p=5536"},"modified":"2026-04-30T19:25:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T15:55:05","slug":"ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-iran-savasi-enflasyonu-koruklerken-faizler-artabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/?p=5536&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131: \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131 Enflasyonu K\u00f6r\u00fcklerken Faizler Artabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131, \u0130ran&#8217;daki sava\u015f\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu &#8220;\u00f6nemli enerji fiyat \u015foku&#8221;nun ard\u0131ndan enflasyonu dizginleme \u00e7abalar\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda bu y\u0131l faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n artabilece\u011fi sinyali verdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bankan\u0131n faiz belirleyicilerinin \u00e7o\u011fu Nisan ay\u0131nda bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini %3,75&#8217;te tutma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kulland\u0131, ancak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 130 dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve birka\u00e7 ay boyunca y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 halinde &#8220;<b>kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde<\/b>&#8221; hareket edeceklerini belirttiler.<\/p>\n<p>Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc <b>petrol fiyat\u0131<\/b>, ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran&#8217;a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flatabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberlerin ard\u0131ndan d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan 126 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey, BBC&#8217;ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu yana enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n &#8220;<b>\u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u015fok<\/b>&#8221; oldu\u011funu belirtti ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli haneler \u00fczerindeki etkileri konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Enflasyon herkes i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fc, ancak en az varl\u0131kl\u0131 olanlar i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle k\u00f6t\u00fc,&#8221; diyen Bailey, &#8220;Enerji ve g\u0131da gibi kalemler, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli ki\u015filerin harcamalar\u0131nda \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir paya sahip. Bu nedenle zor bir durumla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z,&#8221; diye ekledi.<\/p>\n<p>Fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en <b>enflasyon oran\u0131<\/b>, Mart ay\u0131na kadar olan bir y\u0131lda %3,3&#8217;e y\u00fckselerek \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n hedefinden daha da uzakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131n &#8220;\u015fiddeti ve s\u00fcresi etraf\u0131ndaki belirsizlik&#8221; nedeniyle Banka, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda nas\u0131l tepki verece\u011fini belirlemek i\u00e7in bir dizi senaryoyu de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n<h3>Senaryo A:<\/h3>\n<p> Bu senaryoda, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fer ve T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen enflasyon, bu y\u0131l sonunda %3,6&#8217;ya y\u00fckseldikten sonra gelecek y\u0131l sonbahara kadar %3&#8217;\u00fcn alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/p>\n<h3>Senaryo B:<\/h3>\n<p> Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 Senaryo A&#8217;ya g\u00f6re daha yava\u015f d\u00fc\u015fer, enflasyon bu y\u0131l %3,7&#8217;ye y\u00fckselir ve daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<h3>Senaryo C (En Olumsuz Senaryo):<\/h3>\n<p> Petrol y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131r ve enflasyon gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda %6,2 ile zirve yapar. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda <b>faiz oranlar\u0131<\/b> alt\u0131 kez art\u0131r\u0131larak %5,5&#8217;e y\u00fckselebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Banka, her bir senaryonun ne kadar olas\u0131 oldu\u011funa dair olas\u0131l\u0131k vermedi. Ancak, Ba\u015fkan Bailey <b>Senaryo B&#8217;ye daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k<\/b> verdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Bailey, \u0130ran&#8217;daki durumun daha h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi halinde faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmak yerine sabit tutulmaya devam edece\u011fi daha &#8220;\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131&#8221; bir senaryonun da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilece\u011fini kabul etti.<\/p>\n<p>BBC&#8217;ye konu\u015fan Bailey, &#8220;Bizim i\u015fimiz, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te elimizden gelen en iyi yolu \u00e7izmek. Enflasyonu ve ekonomideki aktiviteyi y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in esnekli\u011fimiz var. Bu esnekli\u011fi en iyi \u015fekilde kullanaca\u011f\u0131z,&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon hedefinin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funda, Banka genellikle faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. Ama\u00e7, insanlar\u0131 daha az harcamaya te\u015fvik etmek, mal ve hizmetlere olan talebi azaltmak ve fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak bu durum b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyebilir ve Banka, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l cans\u0131z kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor; en iyi senaryoda %0,8, ko\u015fullar\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesi halinde ise %0,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bankan\u0131n ba\u015f ekonomisti Huw Pill, Banka&#8217;n\u0131n dokuz \u00fcyeli Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu&#8217;nda bu ay faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kullanan tek \u00fcye oldu. Di\u011fer \u00fcyeler, Banka&#8217;n\u0131n enflasyon \u015fokunun boyutunu g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in beklemesi gerekti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Pill, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 95 dolara d\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde, &#8220;en iyi tahminimiz faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde&#8221; dedi. &#8220;Ancak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda bir veya iki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 kesinlikle m\u00fcmk\u00fcn, \u00f6zellikle de [petrol] fiyatlar\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar civar\u0131nda kal\u0131r veya daha da y\u00fckselirse.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><b>\u0130ran&#8217;daki sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki keskin s\u0131\u00e7rama<\/b>, s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler i\u00e7in benzin ve dizel fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak potansiyel etki yak\u0131t\u0131n \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7iyor. H\u00fck\u00fcmet, sava\u015f sonucunda insanlar\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek enerji, g\u0131da ve u\u00e7ak bileti fiyatlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Mevcut fiyat tavan\u0131 Temmuz ba\u015f\u0131nda revize edildi\u011finde <b>enerji faturalar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131<\/b> bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran&#8217;daki sava\u015f\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k, yeni sabit oranl\u0131 anla\u015fma yapan ev sahipleri i\u00e7in <b>mortgage maliyetlerini<\/b> de art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Banka raporunda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde yeni mortgage anla\u015fmas\u0131na ge\u00e7enler i\u00e7in ortalama \u00f6demelerin ayda yakla\u015f\u0131k 80 sterlin artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Banka, mortgage sahiplerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %53&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6demelerinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Banka&#8217;n\u0131n son faiz karar\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak, Maliye Bakan\u0131 Rachel Reeves \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: &#8220;Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki sava\u015f bizim sava\u015f\u0131m\u0131z de\u011fil, ancak yan\u0131t vermemiz gereken bir sava\u015f. Yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m her se\u00e7im, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz ve daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon ile daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131na yol a\u00e7an hatalar\u0131 tekrarlamadan, aileler ve i\u015fletmeler i\u00e7in maliyetleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutmakla ilgili olacak.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6lge Maliye Bakan\u0131 Mel Stride ise Reeves&#8217;in \u0130ngiltere ekonomisini &#8220;zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131&#8221; ve &#8220;son enerji krizine giden s\u00fcre\u00e7te bizi savunmas\u0131z b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131&#8221; belirtti. X&#8217;te yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaz\u0131da, &#8220;Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor \u2013 ancak \u0130ngiltere, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin tercihleri sayesinde G7&#8217;deki en y\u00fcksek enflasyona zaten sahipti,&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>#\u0130ngiltereMerkezBankas\u0131 #FaizOranlar\u0131 #Enflasyon #PetrolFiyatlar\u0131 #Enerji\u015eoku #Ekonomi #Mortgage #Ya\u015famMaliyeti #K\u00fcreselEkonomi #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131, \u0130ran&#8217;daki sava\u015f\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu &#8220;\u00f6nemli enerji fiyat \u015foku&#8221;nun ard\u0131ndan enflasyonu dizginleme \u00e7abalar\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda bu y\u0131l faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n artabilece\u011fi sinyali verdi. Bankan\u0131n faiz belirleyicilerinin \u00e7o\u011fu Nisan ay\u0131nda bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini %3,75&#8217;te tutma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kulland\u0131, ancak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 130 dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve birka\u00e7 ay boyunca y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 halinde &#8220;kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde&#8221; hareket [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5537,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran_haberler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5536\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}