{"id":5664,"date":"2026-05-01T02:00:28","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T22:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/?p=5664"},"modified":"2026-05-01T02:00:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T22:30:28","slug":"25-milyar-dolar-mi-1-trilyon-dolar-mi-iran-savasi-abdye-gercekten-ne-kadara-mal-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/?p=5664&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"25 Milyar Dolar m\u0131, 1 Trilyon Dolar m\u0131: \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131 ABD&#8217;ye Ger\u00e7ekten Ne Kadara Mal Oldu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Savunma Bakan\u0131 Pete Hegseth, \u0130ran ile ya\u015fanan ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ay\u0131na giren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n maliyeti konusunda Amerikan milletvekilleriyle ilk kez Capitol Hill&#8217;de kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya geldi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Temsilciler Meclisi Silahl\u0131 Hizmetler Komitesi&#8217;nde yap\u0131lan duru\u015fmada Pentagon, ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015f i\u00e7in **25 milyar dolar** harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu miktar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde m\u00fchimmat ve ekipman bak\u0131m\u0131na gitti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak Demokrat liderler ve baz\u0131 ekonomistler, bu rakam\u0131n \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde eksik tahmin edildi\u011fine inan\u0131yor. Onlara g\u00f6re, ABD ekonomisine ve \u00fclkenin 330 milyon insan\u0131na ger\u00e7ek maliyet **630 milyar dolar ile 1 trilyon dolar** aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015febilir.<\/p>\n<p>Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump taraf\u0131ndan ele al\u0131n\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sorgulayan milletvekillerine sert \u00e7\u0131kan Hegseth, &#8220;Bu noktada kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z en b\u00fcy\u00fck zorluk, en b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015fman, Kongre&#8217;deki Demokratlar\u0131n ve baz\u0131 Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin pervas\u0131z, beceriksiz ve yenilgici s\u00f6zleridir&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>ABD-\u0130srail&#8217;in \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 devam ederken ve ufukta bir anla\u015fma g\u00f6r\u00fcnmezken, Trump y\u00f6netimi gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in **1,5 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bir savunma b\u00fct\u00e7esi** talep etti. Bu, y\u00fczde 42&#8217;lik bir art\u0131\u015fla \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;ndan bu yana askeri harcamalardaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck geni\u015fleme anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Peki, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ABD&#8217;ye ne kadara mal oluyor ve cevap, kimin bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n daha \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funa m\u0131 ba\u011fl\u0131?<\/p>\n<h3>Pentagon Capitol Hill&#8217;de Neler A\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131?<\/h3>\n<p>Capitol Hill&#8217;deki duru\u015fmada ya\u015fanan tart\u0131\u015fmalar, Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u0130ran sava\u015f harcamalar\u0131 konusundaki \u015feffafl\u0131k eksikli\u011fi nedeniyle artan tepkiler aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Hegseth ve Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dan Caine ile birlikte ifade veren Pentagon&#8217;un vekil kontrol\u00f6r\u00fc Jay Hurst, komitenin Washington&#8217;dan gelen \u00fcst d\u00fczey Demokrat \u00fcyesi Adam Smith&#8217;e **25 milyar dolarl\u0131k tahmini rakam\u0131** a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Hurst, &#8220;Beyaz Saray arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ek fonlama i\u00e7in bir ek b\u00fct\u00e7e olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131z ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n maliyetinin tam bir de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131ktan sonra Kongre&#8217;ye sunulacak&#8221; dedi ve daha sonra bir maliyet d\u00f6k\u00fcm\u00fc de sa\u011flayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 vaat etti.<\/p>\n<p>Hurst, tahmini rakam\u0131n yaln\u0131zca &#8220;sava\u015f\u0131n maliyetlerini&#8221; yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayarak, &#8220;Bu toplamda harcanan m\u00fchimmat maliyetlerini ve di\u011fer operasyonel maliyetleri hesaba kat\u0131yoruz&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Mart ay\u0131nda Pentagon yetkilileri, Kongre&#8217;ye sava\u015f\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 g\u00fcnde 11,3 milyar dolara mal oldu\u011funu bildirmi\u015fti. Pentagon&#8217;un tahmini rakam\u0131, Trump y\u00f6netiminin sava\u015f i\u00e7in ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta talep etti\u011fi 200 milyar dolardan da \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck.<\/p>\n<p>Tahran Sa\u011fl\u0131k Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131&#8217;na g\u00f6re, 28 \u015eubat&#8217;tan bu yana ABD-\u0130srail&#8217;in \u0130ran&#8217;a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda en az 3.375 ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. ABD ordusu, askerleri aras\u0131nda 14 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ilgili \u00f6l\u00fcm ve 200&#8217;den fazla yaralanmay\u0131 do\u011frulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<h3>Demokratlar Bu Rakamlara \u0130nand\u0131 m\u0131?<\/h3>\n<p>Hegseth ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma arkada\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 sorgulayan Demokratlar, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n maliyeti konusundaki yan\u0131tlara ikna olmad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Temsilci Ro Khanna, sava\u015f\u0131n maliyetinin Pentagon&#8217;un tahmini 25 milyar dolarl\u0131k rakam\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu belirtti. Khanna, &#8220;\u0130ran y\u00fcz\u00fcnden Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l artan benzin ve g\u0131da maliyetleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ne kadar \u00f6deyece\u011fini biliyor musunuz?&#8221; diye sordu.<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ablukay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi ve Tahran&#8217;\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 kontrol etmesi nedeniyle, ABD&#8217;de benzin fiyatlar\u0131 galon ba\u015f\u0131na **4,23 dolarla yeni bir zirveye** ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu, Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n Ukrayna&#8217;y\u0131 i\u015fgal etti\u011fi 2022&#8217;den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye. Brent ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015ftan \u00f6nceki d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re benzin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 40&#8217;l\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda yay\u0131nlanan bir Reuters\/Ipsos anketine g\u00f6re ba\u015fkan\u0131n onay oran\u0131n\u0131n ikinci d\u00f6neminde rekor d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye inmesine neden oldu. Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 22&#8217;si Trump&#8217;\u0131n ya\u015fam maliyetini ele al\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 onaylad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Khanna, sava\u015f\u0131n artan benzin ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 nedeniyle ABD ekonomisine yakla\u015f\u0131k **631 milyar dolara** \u2013 yani hane ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 5.000 dolara \u2013 mal olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti.<\/p>\n<p>Khanna, Hegseth&#8217;e &#8220;\u0130ran okuluna isabet eden f\u00fczeler i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00f6dedi\u011fimizi bilmiyorsunuz. Benzin i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00f6dedi\u011fimizi bilmiyorsunuz. G\u0131da i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00f6dedi\u011fimizi bilmiyorsunuz&#8221; dedi ve ekledi: &#8220;Sizin 25 milyar dolarl\u0131k rakam\u0131n\u0131z tamamen yanl\u0131\u015f.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>H\u0131rvatistan&#8217;\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomistlerinden Linda Bilmes, sava\u015f\u0131n toplam maliyetinin **1 trilyon dolara** ula\u015fabilece\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n<h3>Bombalar ve F\u00fczeler D\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Sava\u015f\u0131n Di\u011fer Maliyetleri Nelerdir?<\/h3>\n<p>ABD daha \u00f6nce, k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir ate\u015fkesin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesinden \u00f6nce, \u0130ran ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ilk 39 g\u00fcn\u00fcnde 13.000&#8217;den fazla hedefi vurdu\u011funu iddia etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rnek vermek gerekirse, ABD \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn\u00fcnde, son d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda Ukrayna&#8217;ya sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha fazla Patriot f\u00fczesi ate\u015fledi. Savunma sistemindeki bu f\u00fczelerin her biri 4 milyon dolara mal oluyor ve her biri 50.000 dolardan fazla etmeyen \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n \u015eahid insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyorlard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak sava\u015f\u0131n ekonomisi ve etkisi, bombalar\u0131n ve f\u00fczelerin de\u011ferinin \u00e7ok \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n<p>En b\u00fcy\u00fck giderlerden biri, **hasar g\u00f6ren varl\u0131klar\u0131n yeniden in\u015fas\u0131 ve onar\u0131m\u0131d\u0131r.**<\/p>\n<p>ABD-\u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnde eski Y\u00fcksek Lider Ali Hamaney&#8217;i suikastla \u00f6ld\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan Tahran, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesindeki ABD askeri tesislerine ve el\u00e7iliklerine f\u00fcze ve insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 salvolar\u0131 ate\u015fleyerek kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131, Kuveyt&#8217;teki ABD askeri kamplar\u0131na, ayr\u0131ca Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri&#8217;ndeki el-Dhafra hava \u00fcss\u00fc ve Al Ruwais askeri \u00fcss\u00fc, Suudi Arabistan&#8217;daki Prens Sultan Hava \u00dcss\u00fc ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn&#8217;deki Muwaffaq Salti Hava \u00dcss\u00fc gibi di\u011fer askeri \u00fcslere zarar verdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu ay\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda, NBC News alt\u0131 ABD yetkilisinin, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki ABD askeri \u00fcslerine ve ekipmanlar\u0131na kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klanandan \u00e7ok daha fazla zarar verdi\u011fini belirtti\u011fini aktard\u0131. Yaln\u0131zca bu hasarlar\u0131n onar\u0131m\u0131 **milyarlarca dolara** mal olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>The New York Times&#8217;\u0131n ba\u015fka bir raporu, Bahreyn&#8217;deki ABD Donanmas\u0131 Be\u015finci Filo karargah\u0131n\u0131n sadece onar\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n **200 milyon dolara** mal olabilece\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n<p>Hegseth, bu rakam\u0131n ABD \u00fcslerindeki hasar\u0131n onar\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erip i\u00e7ermedi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemeyi reddetti. Ge\u00e7en haftaki b\u00fct\u00e7e brifinglerinde, Pentagon&#8217;un vekil kontrol\u00f6r\u00fc Hurst, gazetecilere Washington&#8217;\u0131n &#8220;deniza\u015f\u0131r\u0131 tesislerimizdeki hasar\u0131n nihai bir rakam\u0131na sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131&#8221; s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131nda hasar g\u00f6ren tesislerin onar\u0131m maliyeti soruldu\u011funda, departman\u0131n hala &#8220;gelecekte ne in\u015fa etmek istedi\u011fimizi&#8221; de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini ekledi.<\/p>\n<p>Hurst, &#8220;Ortaklar\u0131m\u0131z da bu in\u015faat i\u00e7in bir pay katk\u0131da bulunabilir&#8221; dedi. Bu arada, ekonomistler, Washington&#8217;dan K\u00f6rfez&#8217;deki m\u00fcttefikleri taraf\u0131ndan \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan kendi onar\u0131mlar\u0131na katk\u0131da bulunmas\u0131 istenirse, ABD&#8217;nin faturas\u0131n\u0131n daha da artaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<h3>Sava\u015fta \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma D\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Ba\u015fka Neler Maliyetlidir?<\/h3>\n<p>H\u0131rvatistan Kennedy Okulu kamu maliyesi profes\u00f6r\u00fc Bilmes, \u015eubat 2006&#8217;da Irak sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ABD&#8217;ye 3 trilyon dolara mal olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmi\u015fti. O zamanlar George Bush y\u00f6netimi, ABD halk\u0131na \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n 50 milyar dolara mal olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Yirmi y\u0131l sonra, Bilmes en do\u011fru tahminlerden birini yapm\u0131\u015f oldu. Irak sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n toplam maliyeti \u015fu anda 2 trilyon dolar olarak tahmin edilse de, Bilmes ger\u00e7ek maliyetin daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bilmes, Harvard Kennedy Okulu&#8217;na verdi\u011fi bir r\u00f6portajda, &#8220;Sava\u015flar her zaman beklenenden daha pahal\u0131ya mal olur. Tarih boyunca, sava\u015flara girenler maliyet ve s\u00fcresi konusunda iyimser olma e\u011filimindedir&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Kesin maliyeti \u00f6l\u00e7mek zor. Ancak \u015fu an bildiklerimize g\u00f6re, [mevcut \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131] k\u0131sa vadeli, pe\u015fin maliyetler olarak g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k **2 milyar dolara** mal oluyor ki bu buzda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sadece g\u00f6r\u00fcnen k\u0131sm\u0131&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Bilmes, sava\u015f bittikten sonraki uzun vadeli harcamalar\u0131n **gaziler bak\u0131m\u0131 ve silah envanterini yenilemeyi** i\u00e7erdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in bir trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan eminim&#8221; diyerek s\u00f6zlerini tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>#\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #ABDAskeriHarcamalar\u0131 #Sava\u015fMaliyeti #Pentagon #Ekonomi #SavunmaB\u00fct\u00e7esi #Jeopolitik #Ortado\u011fu #ABD\u0130ranGerilimi #AskeriPolitika<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Savunma Bakan\u0131 Pete Hegseth, \u0130ran ile ya\u015fanan ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ay\u0131na giren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n maliyeti konusunda Amerikan milletvekilleriyle ilk kez Capitol Hill&#8217;de kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya geldi. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Temsilciler Meclisi Silahl\u0131 Hizmetler Komitesi&#8217;nde yap\u0131lan duru\u015fmada Pentagon, ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015f i\u00e7in **25 milyar dolar** harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu miktar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde m\u00fchimmat ve ekipman bak\u0131m\u0131na gitti\u011fini [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5665,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5664"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5664\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5665"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}