Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi i\u00e7in bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti ancak **\u0130ran’daki sava\u015f** ve “i\u00e7 belirsizli\u011fin” ekonomiyi olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
Etkili kurulu\u015f, ge\u00e7en ay \u0130ngiltere’nin geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler aras\u0131nda \u0130ran’daki sava\u015ftan en \u00e7ok etkilenece\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti. \u015eimdi ise 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini %0,8’den %1’e y\u00fckseltti<\/b>. En son tahmininde, \u0130ngiltere’nin “diren\u00e7li kalmaya devam etti\u011fini” belirtirken, Orta Do\u011fu’daki uzun s\u00fcreli bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fini ve “daha y\u00fcksek enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131na” yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini ekledi. IMF ayr\u0131ca, “\u0130\u00e7 belirsizlik de zaten de\u011fi\u015fken olan k\u00fcresel ortama eklenerek t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131 engelleyebilir” dedi.<\/p>\n
Bu y\u00fckseltme, ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan ve ekonominin y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda perakende ve in\u015faat gibi alanlardaki toparlanman\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde %0,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc<\/b> g\u00f6steren rakamlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. IMF, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin son k\u00fcresel \u015foka “beklenenden daha fazla ivme ile” girdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\nEnflasyon ve Faiz Oranlar\u0131 Hakk\u0131nda IMF G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc<\/h3>\n
IMF, zamanla fiyatlar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 olan enflasyonun, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 nedeniyle “ge\u00e7ici olarak” artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. \u0130ngiltere, \u00fcretti\u011finden daha fazla enerji ithal etti\u011fi i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel fiyatlardaki h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flara kar\u015f\u0131 daha hassas durumda. Ancak IMF, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 (\u015fu anda %3,75) y\u00fckseltmesine gerek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Kurulu\u015f, “Y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda oranlar\u0131 sabit tutmak, enflasyonu 2027 sonuna kadar hedefe (%2) geri getirmek i\u00e7in yeterli olmal\u0131d\u0131r” dedi.<\/p>\n
IMF, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi i\u00e7in k\u00f6t\u00fc se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en hafta h\u00fck\u00fcmeti saran siyasi \u00e7alkant\u0131ya de\u011finmedi ancak “herhangi bir i\u00e7 belirsizli\u011fin” \u0130ran’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseltilen b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini, Hazine \u015eans\u00f6lyesi Rachel Reeves taraf\u0131ndan memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. Reeves, bunun h\u00fck\u00fcmetin “do\u011fru ekonomik plana” sahip oldu\u011funun “kan\u0131t\u0131” oldu\u011funu belirtti. “\u015eans\u00f6lye olarak ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m kararlar, \u0130ran’daki sava\u015f\u0131n maliyetleriyle ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karken ekonomimizin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir konumda oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor” dedi. Ge\u00e7en hafta Ba\u015fbakan Sir Keir Starmer’\u0131n istifas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Reeves, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partili milletvekillerini “ilerleme belirtileri ortaya \u00e7\u0131karken istikrar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 riske atman\u0131n aileleri ve i\u015fletmeleri daha k\u00f6t\u00fc duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fi” konusunda uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
IMF, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bor\u00e7lanma ve a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma (bir mali y\u0131lda bor\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131 miktar) kurallar\u0131na olan ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n mali “g\u00fcvenilirli\u011fini” korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. IMF’nin \u0130ngiltere misyon \u015fefi Luc Eyraud, piyasalar\u0131n ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir h\u00fck\u00fcmet politikas\u0131na \u00f6nem verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Eyraud, “G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdeki politika yap\u0131m\u0131, daha s\u0131k ve \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen \u015foklarla daha de\u011fi\u015fken bir d\u0131\u015f ortam, k\u0131smen \u00fclkelerin y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lar\u0131na ili\u015fkin piyasa endi\u015felerini yans\u0131tan artan bir kamu faiz faturas\u0131 ve zay\u0131f verimlilik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden zorlu\u011fuyla k\u0131s\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r” dedi.<\/p>\n
H\u00fck\u00fcmet, ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirmek amac\u0131yla ekonomiyi b\u00fcy\u00fctmeyi ana \u00f6nceli\u011fi haline getirdi. Ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, i\u015fletmeler daha fazla yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma e\u011filimindedir, daha fazla i\u015f yarat\u0131l\u0131r ve insanlar ortalama olarak kendilerini daha iyi hissederler. Ekonomi durgunla\u015f\u0131r veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse bunun tersi olabilir.<\/p>\n
IMF, gelecekteki vergi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in “uzun vadeli alan\u0131n, temel vergi reformlar\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmedik\u00e7e s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 hale geldi\u011fini” ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde ya\u015flanma, savunma ve iklim ge\u00e7i\u015fi harcamalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan artan bask\u0131lar \u00fczerinde “zorlu se\u00e7imler” oldu\u011funu belirtti. Kurulu\u015f, “artan harcama bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fi ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 vergi alan\u0131”n\u0131n, devlet emekli maa\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kilit uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi gibi daha uzun vadede harcama “k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131” gerektirece\u011fini ima etti. Ancak IMF, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik orta vadeli plan\u0131n\u0131n “iyi bir denge kurmaya devam etti\u011fini” s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Kurulu\u015f, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in herhangi bir hane halk\u0131 destek paketinin hedefe y\u00f6nelik ve zaman s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtti. \u015eans\u00f6lye’nin bu hafta i\u00e7inde, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda planlanan 5 peni yak\u0131t vergisi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 iptali de dahil olmak \u00fczere baz\u0131 ya\u015fam maliyeti destek \u00f6nlemlerini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
IMF’nin tahminleri yak\u0131ndan izlense de, bu rakamlar gelecekte ne olaca\u011f\u0131na dair yaln\u0131zca bir tahmin, en iyi bir tahmindir. D\u00fcnya olaylar\u0131 nedeniyle tahminler genellikle yanl\u0131\u015f \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
#\u0130ngiltereEkonomisi #IMFB\u00fcy\u00fcmeTahmini #K\u00fcreselRiskler #Enflasyon #FaizOranlar\u0131 #RachelReeves #EkonomiPolitikalar\u0131 #OrtaDo\u011fu\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 #VergiReformu #Ya\u015famMaliyetleri<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130ngiltere Ekonomisi \u0130\u00e7in Y\u00fckseltilen B\u00fcy\u00fcme Tahmini ve Devam Eden Riskler Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi i\u00e7in bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti ancak **\u0130ran’daki sava\u015f** ve “i\u00e7 belirsizli\u011fin” ekonomiyi olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Etkili kurulu\u015f, ge\u00e7en ay \u0130ngiltere’nin geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler aras\u0131nda \u0130ran’daki sava\u015ftan en \u00e7ok etkilenece\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti. \u015eimdi ise 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iran_haberler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8669"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8669\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vanak.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}